The Economic Cycle and the Output Gap

The Economic Cycle and the Output Gap

Northwestern Mutual

This year started much like 2023 ended, with markets advancing sharply. From October of last year to mid-January 2024, economic data showing a slowing economy and faltering inflation readings drove interest rates dramatically lower and equity markets higher. This move higher got an additional boost from Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell’s press conference following the December Federal Reserve Board meeting.

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